《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Ap...

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《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Approach》
耐久性和系统设计寿命分析：多学科方法
作者：Joseph H. Saleh
Georgia Institute of Technology
出版社：Cambridge
出版时间：2008年

《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Approach》

《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Approach》

《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Approach》

《Analyses for Durability and System Design Lifetime: A Multidisciplinary Approach》

目录
Preface page xi
1 Introduction: On Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.1 Sundials and human time 1
1.2 Time and human artifacts 5
1.3 Two broad categories of questions regarding durability 5
1.4 Why the interest in product durability and system design
lifetime? 8
1.5 Book organization 10
2 To Reduce or to Extend Durability? A Qualitative Discussion
of Issues at Stake . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
2.1 Introduction 14
2.2 Nomenclature: Durability and design lifetime – A matter of
connotation 15
2.3 To reduce or to extend a product’s durability? What is at
stake and for whom? 16
2.4 Example: To reduce or to extend a spacecraft’s design
lifetime? 22
3 A Brief History of Economic Thought on Durability . . . . . . . . . . 24
3.1 Introduction: Snapshot from the middle of the story 24
3.2 Periodization and the history of economic thought on
durability 26
3.3 The origins and preanalytic period in the history of economic
thought on durability: KnutWicksell and Edward Chamberlin 27
3.4 Growing interest in durability: Limitations of the price–
quantity analysis and suspicious industry practices 28
vii
viii Contents
3.5 “Flawed analytic” period in the history of economic
thought on durability 32
3.6 The Swan-centric period in the history of economic thought
on durability 33
3.7 The identification of the time inconsistency problem for
durable goods monopolists 35
3.8 Recent economic literature on durability 41
3.9 Limitations of current economic thinking about durability 44
3.10 Conclusions 48
Appendix – Origins of Coase’s contribution to the time
inconsistency problem of durable goods monopolists 49
4 Analysis ofMarginal Cost of Durability and System Cost
perDay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
4.1 Introduction 53
4.2 Nomenclature: Durability, design lifetime, and service life 54
4.3 On values, metrics, and tradeoffs in the search for optimal
durability 56
4.4 Scaling effects and marginal cost of durability: The example
of a satellite 61
4.5 Cost elasticity of durability 71
4.6 From marginal cost of durability to cost per day: Regions
and archetypes 74
4.7 Conclusions 78
5 FlawedMetrics: System Cost per Day and Cost per Payload . . . . . . 81
5.1 Introduction 82
5.2 Two metrics in space system design and their implications 83
5.3 Investigating satellite cost per day 85
5.4 The case for a value-centric mindset in system design 87
5.5 Satellite cost per transponder: Design implications and
limitations 94
5.6 Conclusions 97
6 Durability Choice and Optimal Design Lifetime for Complex
Engineering Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
6.1 Introduction: A topic overlooked by economists and
engineers 101
6.2 An augmented perspective on design and optimization: A
system’s value and the associated flow of service 102
Contents ix
6.3 Optimal durability under steady-state and deterministic
assumptions 104
6.4 Durability, depreciation, and obsolescence: A preliminary
account 110
6.5 Uncertainty, risk, and the durability choice problem: A
preliminary account 118
6.6 Conclusions 123
epilogue. Perspectives in Design: The Deacon’sMasterpiece
and Hundred-Year Aircraft, Spacecraft, and Other Complex
Engineering Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128
1. On durability through robustness: The OliverWendell
Holmes way 129
2. Time to failure 131
3. Beyond robustness: On durability through flexibility in
system design 136
4. The new deacon’s masterpiece: Challenge for poets and
engineers! 141
appendix a. Beyond CostModels, System Utility or Revenue
Models: Example of a Communications Satellite . . . . . . . . . . . 145
A.1 Introduction 145
A.2 Motivation: Proliferation of system cost models and
absence of revenue or utility models 146
A.3 Developing the revenue model structure for a
communications satellite 149
A.4 Modeling satellite loading dynamics 153
A.5 Integrating satellite loading dynamics with transponder
lease price 164
A.6 Conclusions 169
appendix b. On Durability and Economic Depreciation . . . . . . . 171
B.1 Introduction 171
B.2 Depreciation, deterioration, and obsolescence: The
traditional interpretation 174
B.3 The model 175
B.4 Depreciation and incremental present value 178
B.5 Depreciation and obsolescence 188
B.6 Concluding remarks 191
Index 195


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